For years, housing
developments for downtown Jacksonville moved across planners' maps
like sea serpents on an ancient globe. Nobody had seen one, and some
never expected to, but people guessed what they'd look like and
penned them on plan after plan.
Now hundreds of homes are being built on inner-city parcels where
they once seemed as unlikely as the Loch Ness monster.
And the big question is whether people will want to live there.
"A lot of people have said to me that we're crazy. . . . We're
pretty convinced that they're wrong," said Steven Kruer, a
45-year-old East Arlington paralegal who put a deposit on a $129,500
town house at the Parks at the Cathedral, near St. John's Cathedral,
before the first shovel of dirt was turned. He's hoping his home
will be ready by winter, several months after his 10-year-old son
enters the new middle school being built in nearby LaVilla.
The number of others ready to move downtown will decide, more
than anything else, whether the rebirth City Hall has sought for 20
years will develop a momentum that can bring life downtown after the
business day ends.
Home-hunters will have plenty of choices.
Seven blocks from Kruer's intended home, an Atlanta developer is
building a 22-story complex of luxury apartments, shops and
riverfront town houses priced at $495,000.
Elsewhere, foundations are being set for apartments in Five
Points, a few period-look houses are being built new in Springfield
and a self-described wannabe developer is planning his first foray
into downtown lofts at a 1920s-vintage Northbank building.
Since January, construction has started on nearly 500 homes
within 2 miles of City Hall, pushed along by both local
redevelopment incentives and a national resurgence in downtown
growth.
Housing developers have committed to invest about $70 million so
far, with promises of more if their first efforts succeed. Saying it
must prime the pump to get building started, City Hall has approved
about $14 million worth of incentives, tax breaks and infrastructure
work at four core-city housing developments.
The people behind each project have different ideas of their
market, of the income brackets and demographics of the people they
expect to entice.
But even the strongest downtown supporters agree everyone's
predictions are really guesswork, for now.
"It's a scenario driven by a complete lack of product," said Paul
Krutko, Jacksonville's director of downtown development. "It's real
difficult for people to visualize."
With the exception of seniors' housing and buildings for
government-subsidized renters, it has been more than 50 years since
new housing was constructed in downtown's core.
What backers are betting is that Jacksonville will react like
other suburbanized second-tier cities where builders are finding
unmet demand for housing in the city's center.
From Columbus, Ohio, to Austin, Texas, cities are predicting 50
percent growth in downtown residential construction in the next 10
years.
In city after city, planners are betting on those homes supplying
the human grist for a mill of restaurants, shops and public places
that create an economically viable "24-hour downtown," active even
after downtown workers go home for the night. That also would boost
values of land downtown, typically home to some of the most
expensive real estate in any town.
Turning it around
"Downtowns are back," said design guru Andres Duany, who
pioneered the trendy neo-traditional development style used from
downtown Portland, Ore., to Disney's new town of Celebration in
Central Florida. These days, his South Florida-based company finds a
stream of cities trying to hire it to plan redevelopment projects.
In Jacksonville, even some people who figured downtown was
history have had second thoughts.
"I probably have been the biggest critic of downtown development.
. . . I called it Torn-Down Town," said Bill Lee, 55, a carpet store
owner who lives in a Murray Hill bungalow his family built 74 years
ago.
"But I do believe you can get people downtown on the weekends and
in the evening. I want to be one of them."
Lee said he enjoys places like the Florida Theatre and The
Jacksonville Landing enough that he wants to live downtown in the
same development as Kruer. Working six days a week, he said he's
ready for a home that demands less upkeep and yardwork.
If Jacksonville follows national patterns, between 1,000 and
2,000 new houses and apartments could be built downtown by 2010, a
study for the Jacksonville Economic Development Commission concluded
last year. The raw numbers are tiny stacked against Northeast
Florida's 1.1 million people, but they're comparable to many metro
areas, where downtowns often house less than 1 percent of the
population.